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“The Strait Dope – Why Iran can’t cut off your oil”

Im Fall der Sanktionen kann Iran den Ölhann nicht zudrehen. Nach Eugen Gholz hier in “Foreign Policy, sind die, die das Gegenteil behaupten möchten, reine Pankimacher….

Supertankers carry about 90 percent of Persian Gulf oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz each day, satisfying some 20 percent of worldwide demand. For maximum safety, the International Maritime Organization suggests that the huge, difficult-to-maneuver ships travel within a designated channel while in the strait, but that channel is only a few miles wide. With such a narrow passage, many experts fear that an attacker (read: the Iranian military) could “close the strait.”

The Iranians appreciate the concern: Explicit threats to the strait are a key component of their foreign policy. Alternate routes could only carry a fraction of the oil, so a disruption could cause a major price spike that would severely threaten the global economy. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Zitat des Tages

“As I said in New York, we need enriched uranium at a percentage of 19.75%, and we are offering to buy it from whoever will sell it to us,” Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying.

Nur zur Erinnerung: Angebote Moskaus, die Urananreicherung in russischen Anlagen vorzunehmen, wurden von Teheran bis dato immer wieder mit dem Verweis auf nationale Souveränität und dem “Recht auf eigene Urananreicherung” zurückgewiesen. Ahmadinejads “Zugeständnis” ist zwar zweifelsohne nur ein weiterer Baustein im nuklearen Hinhaltespielchen, allerdings führt seine Aussage auch die Nervosität des Regimes vor Augen, welches in tatsächlichen Sanktionen oder anderweitigen Interventionen die Gefahr erblickt, noch von der Bombe abgehalten zu werden.

Veröffentlicht in News, Vor Ort. Schlagwörter: , . Leave a Comment »

JOHN MCCAIN ON IRAN AND AFGHANISTAN; ein Einterview

FOX NEWS, September 29,2009This is a RUSH transcript from “The O’Reilly Factor,” September 28, 2009. This copy may not be in its final form and may be updated.

Watch “The O’Reilly Factor” weeknights at 8 p.m. and 11 p.m. ET!

BILL O’REILLY, HOST: Now for the top story tonight. Let’s bring in Sen. John McCain for his take on Iran and Afghanistan. The senator joins us from Washington.

We’re pleased to have you, Senator, because you could be president of the United States right now. You could be facing exactly what President Obama is facing. So let’s take Iran first. Am I making any mistakes in my analysis, sir?

SEN. JOHN MCCAIN, R-ARIZ.: No, not at all. This is a very serious situation, and the solution, I think, not only lies with an attempt to impose sanctions on Iran. As you, I think, appropriately and accurately pointed out, I have very serious doubts as to whether Russia and China will be able to cooperate with sanctions that have significant effect on Iran and we can talk about why. But I think you left out something, and that is our advocacy for regime change in Iran. And I don’t mean through military action by helping, supporting, assisting in a variety of ways, including Internet access and other — encouragement of elements within Iran to overthrow the regime. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

“Forget the Nukes”

Wem hilft die Sanktionen? Opposition oder das iranische Regime? Zentrale Frage von Robert Kagan, WP, September 30, 2009

The Most Fruitful Target Is Iran‘s Weakening Regime

The past two weeks have been a big success for the rulers in Tehran, despite what many in the United States and Europe may think. The Obama administration, the Europeans and the media have been obsessively focused on Iranian missile launches and secret enrichment facilities, on Russia‘s body language, and on the likely success or failure of Thursday’s talks in Geneva. What the world has not focused on is the one thing Iran‘s rulers care about: their own survival.

You have to give the clerics credit for keeping this grave matter off Western agendas. The fraudulent presidential election in June and the subsequent mass demonstrations produced the biggest regime crisis in years. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei must have been panicked at the prospect of losing control — and with reason. Western democrats, not knowing what it is like to rule by fear and force, generally underestimate what a scary and uncertain business it can be, how a single wrong move, usually a too-timid response, can spell catastrophe. Even the masterful Deng Xiaoping, faced with much smaller opposition demonstrations in 1989, believed his Communist oligarchy could lose power absent a decisive show of force followed by a thorough purge of unreliable figures in the regime. In Iran, the regime’s violent crackdown, its mass arrests of opposition figures — including the children of high-ranking clerics — and all the farcical show trials have been signs of weakness and anxiety, not confidence. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

“We’ve Been Talking to Iran for 30 Years”

Jimmy30JahreFoto von Associated Press

The seizure of the U.S. embassy followed the failure of Carter administration talks with Ayatollah Khomeini’s regime.

WSJ, by MICHAEL LEDEENThe Obama administration’s talks with Iran—set to take place tomorrow in Geneva—are accompanied by an almost universally accepted misconception: that previous American administrations refused to negotiate with Iranian leaders. The truth, as Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said last October at the National Defense University, is that “every administration since 1979 has reached out to the Iranians in one way or another and all have failed.”

After the fall of the shah in February 1979, the Carter administration attempted to establish good relations with the revolutionary regime. We offered aid, arms and understanding. The Iranians demanded that the United States honor all arms deals with the shah, remain silent about human-rights abuses carried out by the new regime, and hand over Iranian “criminals” who had taken refuge in America. The talks ended with the seizure of the American Embassy in November. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

U.S. charges Obama fund-raiser in $290 million fraud

POLITICS-US-NEMAZEE-PLEAInvestment banker Hassan Nemazee sits in his living room before a fundraiser with U.S. Senator Hilary Clinton (D-NY) to support Democratic presidential candidate and U. S. Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) in New York in this September 22, 2008 file photo. REUTERS/Joshua Lott/Files

NEW YORK (Reuters), By Grant McCool, Mon Sep 21, 2009 Hassan Nemazee, a fund-raiser for Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and other Democrats, has been indicted for defrauding Bank of America, HSBC and Citigroup Inc out of more than $290 million in loan proceeds, U.S. prosecutors said on Monday.

The announcement follows last month’s indictment of Nemazee, head of a private equity firm and an Iranian American Political Action Committee board member, on one count of defrauding Citigroup’s Citibank.

The new indictment adds allegations that he defrauded two other banks, Bank of America and HSBC Bank USA, in a similar fashion by falsifying documents and signatures to purportedly show he had hundreds of millions worth of collateral.

The office of the U.S. Attorney in Manhattan and the FBI said he used the proceeds of his scheme to make donations to election campaigns of federal, state and local candidates, donations to political action committees and charities.

He bought property in Italy and paid for maintenance on two properties in New York.

His lawyer could not immediately be reached for comment. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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