Why Obama Just Might Fight Iran

Finally dann doch some „Hope and Change“? Walter Russell Mead jedenfalls argumentiert, dass eben jene Überzeugungen Obamas, die einem Präventivschlag eigentlich im Wege stünden, letztlich doch zu einem Schlag gegen das iranische Atomwaffenprogramm führen könnten:

In my view, Iran and this president are headed toward a confrontation in which President Obama will either have to give up all hope on the issues he cares most about, or risk the use of force to stop Iran.

Michael J. Totten nimmt diesen Gedanken auf:

The president [Obama, Mr. Mo] is not likely to go to war with Iran for Israel’s sake. He’s even less likely to go to war with Iran on behalf of the Middle East’s Sunni Arabs. He’s not even all that likely to go to war with Iran to protect American interests in the Levant and the Persian Gulf. He just might, though, as Mead says, go to war to protect what he values most and hopes to accomplish as president.

Obama is often described as a cold-blooded “realist,” but in some ways he’s a Wilsonian. He’s a different kind of Wilsonian from President George W. Bush, but he is one nonetheless. “In many ways a classic example of the Wilsonian school of American foreign policy,” Mead writes, “President Obama believes that American security can best be safeguarded by the construction of a liberal and orderly world,” like a loose and less centralized European Union on a planet-wide scale. And yet, as Mead points out, “Iran’s success means the complete, utter and historic destruction of everything President Obama wants to build.”

He’s right. If Iran emerges as a nuclear-armed terrorist-sponsoring hegemon over the world’s primary energy fields, Obama’s neo-Wilsonian project — which is already a long-shot, at best, as it is — will stand no chance at all for the duration of his tenure and most likely beyond. His domestic American agenda will go sideways, as well, if he loses a re-election bid in 2012 for sending the Middle East and the stability of the world’s energy economy into a tailspin.

Tottens abschließende Einschätzung:

American presidents, like all leaders everywhere, are forced to choose between bad and worse options. And it’s not always clear which option is which. I wouldn’t go so far as to say it’s likely Obama will use the military power at his disposal to prevent Iran from going nuclear, but it’s not unthinkable that he’ll surprise everyone — for good or for ill — if he feels those who destroyed Carter are on the verge of scalping him, too.

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Krauthammer & Kristol discusses the effectiveness of recent UNSC Iran sanctions, and the Administration’s perspective on them

Via Foreign Policy Initiative.

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Besuch in Künstlerwerkstatt

Zwei Artisten der Maschinenbautechnik  bekommen wohlwollend gestimmten Besuch:

„Es macht Ihnen doch nichts aus, wenn wir weiterarbeiten, während wir uns unterhalten?“

Quelle: Summers

White House seeks to soften Iran sanctions

Cleverer Schachzug, schließlich sollte man nicht gleich zu Beginn der Verhandlungen sein ganzes Pulver verschießen:

The Obama administration is pressing Congress to provide an exemption from Iran sanctions to companies based in „cooperating countries,“ a move that likely would exempt Chinese and Russian concerns from penalties meant to discourage investment in Iran.

The Comprehensive Iran Sanctions, Accountability, and Divestment Act is in a House-Senate conference committee and is expected to reach President Obama’s desk by Memorial Day. [Weiterlesen…]

Wer merkt es zuerst?

Angesichts der öffentlichen Verkündigung einer ranghohen Vertreterin der Vereinigten Staaten, dass selbige die iranische Bombe nicht mittels militärischer Gewalt, ja nicht einmal mittels unilateralen oder von einer „Koalition der Willigen“ getragenen Sanktionen zu verhindern gedenken, bleibt zu fragen: wann werden deutsche Medien darauf aufmerksam machen, dass es sich beim Gerede von der „unakzeptablen“ iranischen Bombe der Obama-Regierung um eine Lüge handelt, die nun auch von Vertretern dieser Regierung offen eingestanden wird. Und wird vielleicht auch jemand darauf hinweisen, dass der Freifahrtschein, der der „Islamischen Republik“ damit de facto ausgestellt wird,  nicht nur selbst, sondern gerade dann von einer unfassbaren Dummheit zeugt, wenn man der militärischen Option ablehnend gegenübersteht?

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US gives up military option, non-UN sanctions against Iran


US deputy defense secretary Michele Flournoy said Wednesday, April 21: „The US has ruled out a military strike against Iran’s nuclear program any time soon.“ This is the first time a senior administration official has publicly admitted that America has dropped its military option against Iran. Instead, said Flournoy, the US is hoping that „negotiations and United Nations sanctions will prevent the Middle East nation from developing nuclear weapons.“ Weiterlesen…

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When Armageddon lives next door

Der israelische Historiker Benny Morris über die iranische Bombe, Israel und Barack Obama:

I take it personally: Iran’s president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, wants to murder me, my family and my people. Day in, day out, he announces the imminent demise of the „Zionist regime,“ by which he means Israel. And day in, day out, his scientists and technicians are advancing toward the atomic weaponry that will enable him to bring this about.

The Jews of Europe (and Poles, Russians, Czechs, the French, etc.) should likewise have taken personally Adolf Hitler’s threats and his serial defiance of the international community from 1933 to 1939. But he was allowed, by the major powers and the League of Nations, to flex his muscles, rearm, remilitarize the Rhineland and then gobble up neighboring countries. Had he been stopped before the invasion of Poland and the start of World War II, the lives of many millions, Jews and Gentiles, would have been saved. But he wasn’t.

And it doesn’t look like Ahmadinejad will be either. [Weiterlesen…]